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Libya reserves drawdown accelerates Libya reserves drawdown accelerates(0)

A combination of oil production disruptions and runaway spending could deplete Libya’s formidable financial reserves in less than five years, analysts warn. CONTINUE READING

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Libya risks meltdown as fresh tension builds up Libya risks meltdown as fresh tension builds up(0)

Libya has gone from a much-lauded country trying to get back on its feet after a bloody civil war, to a basket-case within the space of a few short months. CONTINUE READING

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Libya on shaky ground as insurgency rises Libya on shaky ground as insurgency rises(0)

Libya’s economic figures are the envy of the world, but the country teeters on the edge of dysfunction. CONTINUE READING

Arab Countries In Transition Arab Countries In Transition(0)
freestylee / Foter / CC BY

Countries hit by the promising but disruptive Arab Spring will need financing to the tune of USD43-billion next year, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). CONTINUE READING

Qaddafi’s Weapons Qaddafi’s Weapons(0)

Libya’s transformation from being the personal fiefdom of Moammer Gaddafi to a fledgling democracy is an incredible achievement. CONTINUE READING

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Mr_CRO / Foter
Fast-growing Libya Fast-growing Libya(0)

The Libyan economy is set to grow by 20%, the fastest in Africa, and easily among the fastest in an otherwise depressed global economy. CONTINUE READING

Libya’s 9 Challenges Libya’s 9 Challenges(0)

Libya’s oil sector has returned quickly to full speed, but the rest of the country remains in a state of disrepair. Maplecroft identifies at least nine key challenges facing the country.

While Libya has done well in ramping up oil production to near pre-civil war levels, much remains to be done. READ MORE HERE

 

Libya Revisited Libya Revisited(0)

The figures are in: Libya’s civil war cost the country a 60% contraction in GDP as forces loyal to maverick leader Moammer Gaddafi tried in vain to contain the rising tide of rebels eager to rid the country of the brutal dictator.

With NATO air cover and Arab arms and financing feeding the rebels, it was inevitable that the regime would fall. What was even more inevitable was Colonel’s Gaddafi’s death at the hands of a ragtag army of rebels in the most grisly fashion on the streets of Sirte. READ MORE HERE

Can the NTC Unite Libya? Can the NTC Unite Libya?(0)

While the international community saw Libyans collectively rise up against the rule of Moammar Gaddafi and saw the emergence of the National Transitional Council (NTC) as the unifying force, the reality on the ground is quite different.

A new study by the International Crisis Group (ICG) brings into sharp focus the rivalries, the complexities and the number of militias, groups, and secular and religious parties that have come to the fore and are jostling for attention and representation in the new Libya. READ MORE HERE

MENA 2012 Outlook: Oil Exporting Countries MENA 2012 Outlook: Oil Exporting Countries(0)

In the first part of the 2012 regional economic prospects, a look at oil-rich countries’ efforts to manage their citizens’ expectations, economic slowdown and regional and domestic political upheavals in the New Year.

The year 2011 was probably the most unexpected for the Middle East in decades with  not just the magnitude of changes unravelling in the region, but also the sheer number of those cataclysmic changes. READ MORE HERE

SPECIAL COMMENT: The Arab Spring Could Turn Into A Long And Cruel Winter SPECIAL COMMENT: The Arab Spring Could Turn Into A Long And Cruel Winter(0)

By Alon Ben-Meir

Due to a host of common denominators in the Arab world including the lack of traditional liberalism, the tribes’ power, the elites’ control of business, the hold on power by ethnic minorities, the military that cling to power, and the religious divide and Islamic extremism, the Arab Spring could sadly turn into a long and cruel winter. These factors are making the transformation into a more reformist governance, slow, filled with hurdles and punctuated with intense bloodshed. At the same time, each Arab country differs characteristically from one another on other dimensions including: history and culture, demographic composition, the role of the military, resources, and geostrategic situations. This combination of commonality and uniqueness has had, and will continue to have, significant impacts on how the uprising in each Arab country evolves and what kind of political order might eventually emerge.

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Arab Spring: A New Era In A Transforming Globe Arab Spring: A New Era In A Transforming Globe(0)

By Alon Ben-Meir

November 8, 2011

The Arab uprising must be seen as an integral part of a world in transformation. The technological and informational revolutions that have spurred (and continue to spur) globalization and interconnectedness between cultures make it impossible for tyrants to rule for the entirety of their lifetimes while mercilessly subjugating their peoples to lives of servitude with no prospect of ever tasting the true meaning of freedom.
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Did Gaddafi Die As The Richest Man In The World? Did Gaddafi Die As The Richest Man In The World?(0)

While the world fixates on whether Colonel Gaddafi died as the richest man in the world, with $200-billion ferreted away, ordinary Libyans focus on pulling themselves out of poverty in a country in disarray. READ MORE HERE
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‘Mission Accomplished’ In Libya & Iraq? ‘Mission Accomplished’ In Libya & Iraq?(0)

By George Friedman

In a week when the European crisis continued building, the White House chose publicly to focus on announcements about the end of wars. The death of Moammar Gadhafi was said to mark the end of the war in Libya, and excitement about a new democratic Libya abounded. Regarding Iraq, the White House transformed the refusal of the Iraqi government to permit U.S. troops to remain into a decision by Washington instead of an Iraqi rebuff.
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Post-Gaddafi Libya: $30Bn Needed To Raise Oil Production Post-Gaddafi Libya: $30Bn Needed To Raise Oil Production(0)

It’s ironic that the man who used his formidable oil assets as a weapon to hold his people – and the world – hostage, saw little reaction from oil markets upon his death.
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Graphic Video Content: The Final Moments of Libya’s Muammar Gaddafi Graphic Video Content: The Final Moments of Libya’s Muammar Gaddafi(0)

Despite its graphic content, it is an important historical moment in the region. Hence, reposting with caveats and warnings that it is very graphic content of the final moments of the Libyan dictator – apologies in advance:


The Initial Moments of Gaddafi’s Capture – Exclusive From Globalpost.com:

New Libya: Great Opportunities, Greater Challenges New Libya: Great Opportunities, Greater Challenges(0)

Ousting Moammer Gaddhafi may have been the easy part as the National Transitional Council mulls over the next steps to restore domestic stability and investor confidence back into the state.

The slate has not exactly been wiped clean, but it is the dawn of a new era in Libya. With Colonel Moammer Gaddhafi a fugitive in the country he ran with an iron fist for 42 years, the Libyan rebels’ National Transitional Council (NTC) has quickly emerged as the legitimate group running the country in the interim. READ MORE HERE
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Middle East’s Q3 Economic Prospects Look Dim On Global Slowdown Middle East’s Q3 Economic Prospects Look Dim On Global Slowdown(0)

As the global economy lurches from one crisis to the next, we look at the prospects for the regional economies in troubling global conditions which could slash domestic growth.

Another quarter, another headache. Gulf governments have suffered a tumultuous first two quarters of the year and were hoping for some semblance of sanity in the third quarter. At the very least, regional governments were hoping that tragic developments within the Middle East had remained isolated – Syria, Yemen and Libya  – leaving other countries in relative safety and peace.
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Opec 2011 Bulletin’s 18 Most Important Pages (In Charts) Opec 2011 Bulletin’s 18 Most Important Pages (In Charts)(0)

Opec’s annual bulletin reveals the changing dynamics of the energy industry and the key challenges facing both the producers and the consumers.

Click through the charts to find out more:

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Cast Your Vote In Arab Spring Awards Cast Your Vote In Arab Spring Awards(0)

Spring is nearly six months old. It is time to take stock, remember those who lost their lives and continue to fight, and hand out some well-deserved awards to the key players.

The New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof, asked the rhetorical question ‘What Country Handled Arab Spring The Best? His own answer: Morocco.

But he left the discussion at that. Given that the Arab Spring is just about six months old, alifarabia.com was inspired to take stock of how the various countries have handled a revolution that has smashed Middle East dogmas, broken the will of Arab strongmen and given hopes to millions not just in the Arab World but also around the world.

The Middle East has seen more public participation in politics in the past six months than it has done over the past 50 years. Much to the shock of Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, Hosni Mubarak and Moamer Qaddhafi, the people of the Arab World launched a unique coup that they could not have fathom and never saw coming. These strongmen were looking to suppress indigenous Islamic movements, the radicals, Al-Qaeda sympathisers, the socialists, the Shiaas and the sufis. They were looking for tangible forces they could fight, and suppress and imprison and maim – as they had done in the past.

READ MORE HERE

High-Spending Gulf In Dilemma As Opec Loses Relevance High-Spending Gulf In Dilemma As Opec Loses Relevance(0)

With Opec seemingly irrelevant, the GCC is trying to find a balance between responsible crude suppliers and their own domestic needs. But, as Deutsche Bank warns, their own high breakeven prices are making them even more vulnerable to oil price shocks than before. READ MORE HERE

Middle East Countries Fall In Peace Index Middle East Countries Fall In Peace Index(0)

Qatar, which has been beating its regional rival on economic performance, has also won the title of the most peaceful country in the Middle East North Africa region.

The Institute of Economics & Peace, bestowed the number one regional ranking to Qatar in its annual Global Peace Index (GPI) 2011. READ MORE HERE
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$1.6T Middle East Projects Are Delayed Or Cancelled: Citibank $1.6T Middle East Projects Are Delayed Or Cancelled: Citibank(0)

Close to $1.6-trillion worth of projects are cancelled or are on hold in the Middle East and East North African market, with $800-billion in the UAE alone, according to Citibank. The statistics are a reflection of the hangover of the leveraged days in the region when billion dollar projects were announced virtually every other day. Read More Here

Survey: Revival & Reach of Islamic Finance Survey: Revival & Reach of Islamic Finance(1)

By Rushdi Siddiqui, Global Head, Islamic Finance & OIC Countries Thomson Reuters

It’s polling time once again in Islamic finance, but, today, we survey two major developments: Arab revolution and death of Osama Bin Laden (OBL), and examine the consequences, if any, on Islamic finance on the Maghreb and anti-Shariah countries.

Interestingly, the million-dollar mansion living OBL and his executive team camped in ‘cave gate-aways’ witnessed in real time the Al Qaeda ideology of hate, mayhem and murder discredited by a highly educated, but very poor Tunisian fruit-seller seeking dignity of work in providing for his family.
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Gold Reserves of Middle East & North Africa Governments Gold Reserves of Middle East & North Africa Governments(1)

Saudi Arabia’s gold reserves dwarf Libya’s hordings. Here is a selected list of countries with the biggest gold reserves, including almost every Middle East nation.

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What Every Risk Manager Should Ponder What Every Risk Manager Should Ponder(0)

David Rosenberg is an outstanding economist and strategist at Glushin & Sheff in Toronto. He notes that while there are many known unknowns, there are a few things worth pondering about strategists and risk managers like him
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Mark Mobius’ Middle East North Africa View Mark Mobius’ Middle East North Africa View(0)

Mark Mobius’ Franklin Templeton can see clear opportunities in the haze of Middle East turmoil.
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How Much Wealth Do Arab Rulers Control Directly? How Much Wealth Do Arab Rulers Control Directly?(0)

The rulers and royal families of the Arab World directly control more than $240-billion of investments in publicly-listed firms, surpassing SWF and government institutions, according to data. Read More

Growth Retraction Fears in Middle East Growth Retraction Fears in Middle East(0)

As events in Egypt change faster than you can update them on Twitter or Facebook, regional authorities are looking at the short-term and long-term impact of the crisis on their own economies. Read More

Where’s the next Tunisia? Where’s the next Tunisia?(0)

Which countries are ‘ripe for a revolution’ and is there a likelihood that the people of the Arab World will be able to shake the very foundations of the region’s autocracy, monarchy and dictatorships that rule their fates? Read More

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AlifArabia aims to provide analysis on Middle East and Africa business and political issues. It wants to see a thriving and dynamic Middle East that encourages corporate and government transparency, investments and policies that allow the economies to grow.

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