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The year 2012 may not appear to be any better than 2011 as many businesses had hoped. A new update of the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) World Economic Outlook, says global economy will rise 3.3% in 2012, a downward revision from 4% in its previous forecast.

Excluding Libya, MENA growth projections for 2012 and 2013 are set to be lower by -1.6 and -1.2 percentage points, respectively, than in the September 2011 WEO. READ MORE HERE

It’s only the second week of the year and oil analysts are already in a frenzy, making bold predictions for crude prices - from alpha bearish to mega bullish.

The latest bold prediction came from Capital Economics who have thrown a challenge to other analysts by predicting that Brent crude will average around USD85 this year. READ MORE HERE

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3. Weekly Alifarabia.com Newsletter for FREE, including articles on Saudi Arabia’s economy
4. FREE White labelling of report: Send your company logo to aa@alifarabia.com to convert our report into your own report. This is especially suitable for company presentations to your clients, board meetings and internal research.
   
   WHY DO I GET MY REPORT AFTER 48 HOURS?
   You may be thinking why you have to wait 48 hours to get the report? The truth is that we don’t create off-the-shelf reports like everybody else. We constantly update the reports and once we get an order, we will go over the entire research to ensure we have the most up-to-date information which you can be certain is current to the day you receive it.This is yards better than a report that’s sitting on the virtual shelf for six months. Plus, we are a small team looking after lots of orders - but we make up for it by being excellent, diligent and thorough with our research.

2011 was the year of black swans - those highly improbable occurrences that turn the world economy on its head. So what black swans could be in store for 2012? Central banks losing control over inflation, as a result of their policy of monetising sovereign debt to excess; or perhaps European growth in excess of 1.2%, a positive scenario that no economist is forecasting on today.
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HSBC’s forecast for the region’s three largest economies reveals its continued concerns for Saudi Arabia and Egypt, while it believes UAE’s status as a safe haven is revived.

HSBC expects Egypt’s GDP to rise a mere 0.2% in 2011, a far cry from the robust 5.1% growth in 2010. To be fair, a lot has changed in the country since the end of 2010. READ MORE HERE

As investors say goodbye to the first half of the year and brace themselves for a strange and uncertain world in the second half, the worry beads are already out.Global economies have stuttered, faced natural disaster of epic proportions, seen political upheavals that nobody could have forecasted and have seen new and old worries surface and resurface.Yet markets have remained resilient for the most part, commodity-driven economies have prospered and emerging economies are still managing to expand and grow.Here is a look at what is keeping investors awake at night and some bright spots in an increasingly uncertain world. READ MORE HERE

Oil prices will rise 36% in 2011, denting global economic recovery, warns the IMF. But that also means Saudi’s GDP will rise 7.5% - one of the highest among G20 nations. Read More Here