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Where To Invest In The Middle East: Bank of America Merrill Lynch(0) With Gulf economies poised for growth on the back of strong macroeconomic policies, regional stock markets are also set for growth. The two most liquid GCC markets - Dubai and Saudi Arabia - are both up well over 20% since the start of the year, with the Egyptian market also rising an astonishing 33%. READ MORE HERE |
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Gulf Emerges As Global Sweet Spot(0) Nobody even considered looking at MENA states last year, as news of Arab Spring-related crisis, instability and the Iran conflict dominated the headlines. |
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Gulf’s USD29 Billion Electricity Bill(0) Gulf states are expected to spend USD29-billion over the next two years on their electricity infrastructure, according to ratings agency Moody’s Investors Services. READ MORE HERE |
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Educated, Ambitious, Essential: Women Will Drive the GCC’s Future(0)
Booz & Company addresses ways in which the GCC’s private sector can address nationalization and unemploymentby hiring the region’s highly educated female population Private-sectorcompanies in the Gulf CooperationCouncil (GCC) have an opportunity to address several pressing issues, includingnationalization imperatives and local unemployment, by attracting morenational women into their workforce. Booz& Company has developeda framework to help companies in this effort. Looming Changes in the GCC Workforce Private and semi-private companies inthe GCC are under enormous pressure to nationalize their workforce, owingto a combination of high regional unemployment and a currently outsizedproportion of expatriate workers in the region. Thus far the talent pool of women employeesin the region remains largely untapped, due to social, occupational, andlegal challenges. Private and semi-private organizations in the GCC donot rely heavily on GCC nationals to fill their employment needs, and theyrely even less on women as a group. GCC governments have taken a numberof steps to improve this situation, such as Saudi Arabia’s national policies,including a five-year plan, Human Resources Development Fund (HRDF) programs,and royal decrees, and the women’s leadership center that Qatar is establishing. However, to achieve the goal of greateremployment among national women in the regional workforce, companies willneed to implement internal programs to recruit, develop, and retain womenemployees. This will require solving a number of social, occupational,and legal challenges, with roots in long-standing and sensitive culturalattitudes in the region. “There are clear benefits to be claimed.The companies that take the lead in this issue will help address the GCC’sunemployment problem among nationals. They will also assume a key rolein shaping the future of women in the region,” said RamezShehadi, Partner with Booz & Company. “Mostsignificant, they will tap into a base of talented national women thatis well-educated and eager to join the workforce, giving these companies a long-term competitive edge.” A Three-Part Framework for Change Booz & Company has undertaken substantialresearch in this area, includinga comprehensive survey and client work. We have also developed a frameworkto address these issues, in order to help GCC companies more successfullyintroduce national women into their workforce in greater numbers. Our framework consists of three elements:1) defining an overall corporate vision for employing women based on asolid case for change; 2) developing a talent management strategy and operatingmodel to source, train, promote, and retain women; and 3) implementinga change management strategy to engage with and secure the support of internaland external stakeholders. 1. Women’s Employment Vision One thing is clear from the effortsof companies worldwide to attract and retain talented women: Implementingdiversity for diversity’s sake does not work. To begin successfully integratingwomen into their workforce, GCC companies must have a senior champion whocan make a business case for the need to do so. “Creatingsuch a business case is not without challenges. There is little in theway of objective, broad-based research that clearly establishes the importanceof integrating women into the workforce, and nonethat is specific to the region,” said Dr. Leila Hoteit, Principal withBooz & Company. “However,anecdotal evidence from a multitude of companies shows the value that astrong female talent base can engender. A business case could be basedon any of three elements: workforce,customers, or suppliers.” Workforce: A dedicated effortto recruit and retain women does more than just fill talent gaps. A diverseworkforce leads to higher employee engagement across the board. More than100 studies have demonstrated the correlation between employee engagementand business performance: Engaged employees are far more productive andcommitted, and they are more likely to make progress toward company goals,as well as the goals of their own group Customers: Companies in a wide variety of sectors will need to more effectively target women as this keydemographic’s spending power continues to grow.To do so, companies need to ensure not only that they have women on staffbut that women are in the right positions to enhance the company’s go-to-marketstrategy with their insights, such as R&D, product development, marketing, and sales. Suppliers: Companies need womenin the right roles to raise awareness about potential new suppliers, usetheir networks to build these relationships, and maintain the relationshipsover the long term. One company found annual cost savings of $2 millionto $4 million when it focused on women-owned businesses by categorizingall third-party orders and enhancing the competitiveness of each category. 2. TalentManagement The second element of the frameworkrequires developing a comprehensive approach to hire the most promisingwomen candidates, invest in developing their technical and soft skills,evaluate them objectively, and retain them. Talent acquisition: Companiesshould apply a unified process for attracting qualified talent from allavailable sources. This includes hiring entry-level candidates directlyfrom the ranks of recent graduates of women’s colleges and vocationalinstitutes. Another key channel for young talent is to sponsor students.Still another source, particularly for experienced professionals and managers,is the region’s recruiting firms. “Companiescan partner with leading technology training institutions to establisha pipeline of women professionals with specializedtechnical experience,” said Dr Kamal Tarazi, Principal with Booz &Company. “For example, the Womenin Technology (WIT) program, a collaboration between Microsoft and localwomen’s organizations, teaches computer skills to women in nine MiddleEast and North Africa countries. Since its launch in 2005, WIT has trainedmore than 3,500 women throughout the MENA region.” The company should ensure the same clearobjectives and criteria are used in recruiting women as in its usual recruitingprocess, and avoid making subjective judgments about, for example, a femalecandidate’s age or number of children. It should also seek to have strongfemale representation in recruiting to project an image of a company thatfully embraces and values diversity. Learning and development: Inaddition to recruiting and hiring female candidates, companies must implementa training program to develop women employees in technical areas and softskills. Companiesshould consider a mentorship program that pairs less experienced stafferswith more experienced women. In addition to serving as role models, thementors would offer junior women an opportunity to share their concernsand issues. Performance management: To supportthe integration of women into the workforce, companies must establish anobjective system for evaluating their performance. This process needs tobe clearly communicated and strictly implemented to ensure fairness. Allscores should be objective and measurable, based on specific outcomes (suchas turnover and employee satisfaction in the HR function, or sales numbersfor the sales department), and the evaluation process should include multiplesources of input—e.g., managers, colleagues, and subordinates. Althoughthis is good practice for all employees, recent experience has shown thatit is difficult to implement when evaluating women employees in a male-dominatedenvironment. For example, in some job appraisals, women receive referencesto personality traits—they are “shy” or “emotional”—rather than specificdescriptions of behaviors or quantitative assessments of their job impact.At other times appraisals may reflect an inherent, though unconscious,bias regarding women employees’ long-term commitment to the company inthe context of family obligations. Retention: Once the company hastaken these measures to recruit, hire, develop, and evaluate the womenin its workforce, it should devote equal effort to retaining women employeesand ensure that they stay professionally fulfilled and motivated. Thisis critical, given the scarcity of skilled resources in the market andthe investment that would be needed to hire and develop a new employee.We advocate a balance of traditional incentives and “pride builders,”or less quantifiable and concrete benefits.The first category, incentives, consistsof fairly traditional HR levers: rewards such as compensation and benefits,opportunities for career advancement, and a work–life balance that offerssufficient flexibility to attend to personal obligations while also pursuinga career. The introduction of resources such as family-friendly policieswould go a long way in helping retain talent: For example, employees mayseek part-time work, or the opportunity to telecommute certain days orfor a finite period of time, as long as the job’s requirements allow forit. 3. ChangeManagement “Becauseincreasing women’s participation is a complex initiative with potentialramifications for the entire organization, companies will require an extensivechange management strategy in order to succeed,”said Shehadi. “Atthe outset, all relevant stakeholders,both internal and external, mustunderstand the program and its objectives. This may require overcomingmisguided but still prevalent perceptions among some about the roles ofwomen in society, or their ability to succeed in the private-sector workplace.” Because these perceptions can be stubborn,changing them within companies must start from the top. Companies mustline up support and commitment from the board and executive vice presidents(EVPs), who must lead by example. Senior management should actively monitorkey metrics through dashboards or score cards that track turnover, thenumber of women in senior positions, and other relevant indicators. At lower levels, the company shouldidentify middle management champions for the program. These champions canbegin spreading awareness of the program in advance, along with motivatingtheir staff to embrace the change. They can overcome unforeseen obstaclesat that level—through a performance-driven approach—and identify andcommunicate challenges up the chain of command. Finally, companies will need to adda diversity-management component to the slate of mandatory training requiredof all employees. It is not sufficient to simply prepare women to jointhe labor force; management must prepare the rest of the employees to makethe integration of women a company-wide success as well. The entire company should build on smallsuccesses, potentially through recognition via in-house communicationssuch as internal magazines or newsletters, or through awards given to thedepartment that has the greatest proportion of women employees, or thelargest number of women in leadership roles. “Introducing women into the GCC private-sectorworkforce will not be easy, and there is a risk of moving too fast. Eventhose companies that are most aggressively pursuing nationalization cannotsimply replace one skilled and experienced expat worker with one nationalwoman,” said Dr Hoteit. “In the longer term, this change is inevitable.Attitudes in the region are changing, and many companies are now activelyworking to define their strategic vision for how women will fit into theirworkforce. Women have the education and—more important—the desire toplay a more central role in the region’s labor market.” Reaping the Rewards The entrance of more women into theregional economy will serve as an economic multiplier, creating benefitsfor each nation as a whole. “Booz & Company’s research onthe “Third Billion” — the billion women worldwide who are poised tohave an impact on the global economy as workers and consumers — showsthat these new engines of economic activity create vast markets and increasethe size and quality of the talent pool,” concluded Tarazi. “In periodsof relative prosperity, their aspirations and persistence are engines forgrowth. In slower periods, they represent pockets of economic activitythat ameliorate the impact of decline.” For private and semi-private organizationsin the region, nationalization and regional unemployment provide an opportunityto tap an underused talent pool. Defining a strategic vision to betterintegrate women, developing a comprehensive talent strategy to do so, andcarefully managing the transition will be critical for companies that wantto capitalize on this opportunity. Companies that adopt an intelligentstrategy to manage this transition will gain a competitive edge, througha workforce that is more engaged and better reflects the GCC populationat large. |
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Islamic Finance: A ‘come together’ consolidation?(0) Will 2012 be the year of “come together” consolidation for Islamic banks? Size is often the justification for achieving economies of scale, used to access deals for league table prominence, used as a buffer in a challenging environment, used as defensive measure to ward off unwanted suitors, and so on. Islamic banks are very much like Islamic (equity) funds. There are hundreds of Islamic banks and funds, but the paid-up capital and assets under management, respectively, is too small to be meaningful. Yet, both, more so Islamic banks, present a unique situation (of an industry risk) of “too small to fail”. |
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MENA 2012 Outlook: Oil Exporting Countries(0) In the first part of the 2012 regional economic prospects, a look at oil-rich countries’ efforts to manage their citizens’ expectations, economic slowdown and regional and domestic political upheavals in the New Year. The year 2011 was probably the most unexpected for the Middle East in decades with not just the magnitude of changes unravelling in the region, but also the sheer number of those cataclysmic changes. READ MORE HERE |
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MENA Projects: Saudi Arabia Still the Driving Force; UAE Slowdown Continues(0) Excerpt from Citibank report: In October this year, $16.9bn of projects were awarded across MENA. On a cumulative basis, just over $82bn of projects have been awarded across the region in the year to end October. This compares favourably with FY10 when almost $80bn of projects were awarded. Saudi Arabia is the main driving force accounting for a third of the 2011 total. Iraq accounts for 20%.The UAE has awarded almost $14bn in the year to end October, almost $20bn below FY10. |
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SPECIAL COMMENT: The Arab Spring Could Turn Into A Long And Cruel Winter(0) By Alon Ben-Meir Due to a host of common denominators in the Arab world including the lack of traditional liberalism, the tribes’ power, the elites’ control of business, the hold on power by ethnic minorities, the military that cling to power, and the religious divide and Islamic extremism, the Arab Spring could sadly turn into a long and cruel winter. These factors are making the transformation into a more reformist governance, slow, filled with hurdles and punctuated with intense bloodshed. At the same time, each Arab country differs characteristically from one another on other dimensions including: history and culture, demographic composition, the role of the military, resources, and geostrategic situations. This combination of commonality and uniqueness has had, and will continue to have, significant impacts on how the uprising in each Arab country evolves and what kind of political order might eventually emerge. |
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Arab League Looks To Squeeze Syrian Government Out Of Power(0) Alarm bells are ringing in Damascus as western and Arab governments are looking to put pressure on the Assad regime. New sanctions and a new report by the United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHCR) is a damning indictment of how Syrian President Bashar Al Assad the domestic crisis that has engulfed his country - by sheer brute violence. READ MORE HERE |
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Outlook For UAE Darkens; Gulf Not Immune Either: Deutsche Bank(0) The UAE which is more aligned than other regional states to global economic cycles, saw its PMI fall from 57.5 in April to 51.0 in July, suggesting that that any further deterioration in global economies will be felt more in the UAE compared to other Gulf states, says Deutsche Bank. READ MORE HERE |
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Middle East’s Q3 Economic Prospects Look Dim On Global Slowdown(0) As the global economy lurches from one crisis to the next, we look at the prospects for the regional economies in troubling global conditions which could slash domestic growth. Another quarter, another headache. Gulf governments have suffered a tumultuous first two quarters of the year and were hoping for some semblance of sanity in the third quarter. At the very least, regional governments were hoping that tragic developments within the Middle East had remained isolated - Syria, Yemen and Libya - leaving other countries in relative safety and peace. |
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VAT On The Way In Kuwait?(0) Oil-dependent Kuwait may find a new revenue stream to support its rising spending needs if VAT is implemented by the authorities in 2013, according to the IMF. |
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GCC Needs To Create 3.3 Million Jobs By 2020(1) The Gulf states will need to create 3.3 million jobs over the next ten years, meanwhile the MENA region will need to create 30.7 million jobs by 2020, according to Al Masah Capital. Unemployment in the Middle East stands at 10.3% and North Africa at 9.8%. While that may seem comparable or even favourable to some OECD countries - (U.S. 9.1% unemployment, Spain 21.3%), joblessness in MENA is a structural problem. READ MORE HERE |
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Saudi-Led GCC Aims to Spread Regional Influence(0) The potential inclusion of Morocco and Jordan in the GCC fold should be taken for what it is – a political move by the Gulf states to widen their sphere of influence in the region. There is, of course, nothing wrong with it. The United States has done it with NAFTA, the EU has been handing out membership forms to many countries within their vicinity; there is of course the ASEAN, and even BRIC nations have recruited South Africa in their club – they are now called BRICS. Read The Full Article On Economonitor |
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Qatar’s $225 Billion Bonanza Over Next Five Years(2) Qatar’s investment over the next five years will be a staggering $225 billion, but the country is still worried about low energy prices during the period. As a roadmap for its social and economic aspirations, you can’t really fault Qatar’s National Development Strategy 2011-2016 report. It is inspirational, comprehensive and packed with good intentions, as all such reports should. For an economy that is growing at a rate that would put China to shame, it’s national development strategy (NDS) is also lacking in a fair bit of pride and glory - if anything, there are parts of the report that are a bit hesitant and self-doubting. The missing vainglory is a contrast from some of the other national development strategies that one has seen over the years - and that is not a bad thing. It’s almost endearing. Read More |
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Dubai Tourism Gets A Boost, But Egypt and Bahrain Will Struggle This Year: Citibank(0) The emirate’s economy may benefit as international visitors choose hotels in Dubai over other troubled regional tourist destinations, notes Citibank. But Egypt and Bahrain will suffer from poor growth. The UAE may benefit from the unrest in other parts of the Middle East, according to Citibank, with Dubai set to grow 5% this year and at an even faster clip at 6% in 2012. “Due to its relative political stability, we believe there is a possibility of a diversion of commercial, investor and tourist activity from less stable parts of the region. The external sector thus is the main driver of the recovery, with gains being posted both in export growth, and a reduction in imports,” notes Citibank. READ MORE |
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Standard Chartered’s Gulf Debt Outlook & Dubai Concerns(2) The GCC has around $40bn of debt coming due each year over the next five years, says Standard Chartered Bank (SCB). Plus a chart that neatly shows SCB’s forecasts returns on each country’s bonds. Read More Here |
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EFG-Hermes’ Insightful Heat Map On Middle East’s Problems(2) Read why EFG-Hermes is worried about Omani and Bahraini growth. And the bank’s insightful regional heat map that neatly highlights problem areas. Read the full story here |
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Growth Retraction Fears in Middle East(0) As events in Egypt change faster than you can update them on Twitter or Facebook, regional authorities are looking at the short-term and long-term impact of the crisis on their own economies. Read More |
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